Santa Fe
Institute
  • Research
    • Themes
    • Projects
    • SFI Press
    • Researchers
    • Publications
    • Library
    • Sponsored Research
    • Fellowships
    • Miller Scholarships
  • News + Events
    • News
    • Newsletters
    • Podcasts
    • SFI in the Media
    • Media Center
    • Events
    • Community
    • Journalism Fellowship
  • Education
    • Programs
    • Projects
    • Alumni
    • Complexity Explorer
    • Education FAQ
    • Postdoctoral Research
    • Education Supporters
  • People
    • Researchers
    • Fractal Faculty
    • Staff
    • Miller Scholars
    • Trustees
    • Governance
    • Resident Artists
    • Research Supporters
  • Applied Complexity
    • Office
    • Applied Projects
    • ACtioN
    • Applied Fellows
    • Studios
    • Applied Events
    • Login
  • Give
    • Give Now
    • Ways to Give
    • Contact
  • About
    • About SFI
    • Engage
    • Complex Systems
    • FAQ
    • Campuses
    • Jobs
    • Contact
    • Library
    • Employee Portal

Science for a Complex World

Events

Here's what's happening

Give

You make SFI possible

Subscribe

Sign up for research news

Connect

Follow us on social media

© 2026 Santa Fe Institute. All rights reserved. This site is supported by the Miller Omega Program.

Home / News

Research News Brief: The frugal case for energy transition

Graphical abstract from "Empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition," in Joule. (Figure: Rupert Way, Matthew Ives, Penny Mealy, and Doyne Farmer)
October 24, 2022

If you think clean energy is expensive, try fossil fuels. A new report co-authored by Rupert Way, SFI External Professor Doyne Farmer, and their Oxford University colleagues shows that a rapid transition to renewable energy sources by 2050 could save the global economy trillions of dollars compared to both a gradual transition and to no transition at all. The report, published in Joule, models the probable future prices of both fossil fuels and renewables such as wind and solar based on empirical price data from the past. Crucially, the authors account for the falling costs of renewables that have been observed in recent decades, as these technologies have become more advanced and widespread.

Even before considering the massive costs of climate change itself, they find that the sooner we transition to clean energy, the more we stand to save.

Read the paper, "Empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition," (Joule, Sept. 13, 2022) doi.org/10.1016/j.joule.2022.08.009





Share
  • Sign Up For SFI News
News Media Contact

Santa Fe Institute

Office of Communications
news@santafe.edu
505-984-8800



  • Tags
  • Research


More SFI News

View All News

SFI External Professor Nicholas de Monchaux named Dean of UC Berkeley College of Environmental Design

Simon Levin named Fellow of the Royal Society

Brian Enquist receives Robert H. MacArthur Award

Han van der Maas named director of Amsterdam’s Institute for Advanced Study

Marina Dubova receives Dissertation Prize

Smart parts for smart wholes

Aaron Clauset receives honors from AAAS and University of New Mexico

Laurent Hébert-Dufresne receives Erdős-Rényi Prize

Why noise may be the key to understanding cell group patterns

Reinventing democracy before it breaks

Do deep learning models recognize 3D shapes in the same way humans do?

Upending assumptions about learning, inspired by an AI phenomenon

Looking at AGI through the lens of natural intelligence

A simple baseline for AI forecasting in machine learning

Constantino Tsallis to co-chair the 2027 Nobel Symposium on Statistical Mechanics

How novelty arrives: Review of “The Origins of the New”

Working group asks, what’s the benefit of a brain?

Measuring irreversibility in gene transcription

ACtioN Academy engages industry leaders on AI and complexity

Arguing for a complex adaptive power grid